In a poll of people who enjoy the attention of being
regularly polled, 78% of those who just love to be consulted think that polls
provide accurate insights into important matters of the day, regardless of the sample
size, cohort demographic and quality of the questions, just so long as the
exercise produces the right answer. There is a debate to be had as to what
constitutes ‘the right answer’ but without drilling down deeply into the data
it can be assumed to be whatever it was the poll set out to find in the first
place.
So, following several decades in which the BBC’s
popularity and relevance to the general population’s values, hopes and fears
has suffered progressive decline it has come as no surprise that the latest
poll finds no better than 50% satisfaction with the corporation’s offerings.
When I say it comes as no surprise, I include Aunty herself, an organisation
which is regularly slated for its soft, woke, lefty stance on everything by…
well by about half the population.
What then, is the point of polling when the result is exactly
what was expected? And given that any poll which doesn’t match your expectation
is automatically derided as rigged, fake, or taken at at the wrong time or
place by the ‘wrong’ people, why even bother at all? What is the point, why are
there so many polls, and what do they bring to the nations’ health, well-being
or prosperity?
There is such a thing as push-polling, where the
published outcomes are intended to coerce the masses into believing a thing
they don’t believe. You know all about them; Britain is institutionally racist,
the EU was the only thing that prevented war in Europe, employees say that
diversity is more important than competence, that sort of thing. Companies use
polls to sell their products, governments to sell their policies. You can’t
fucking breathe for polls, ever minute of every day of your choose-an-option
life.
But does any of it improve anything? Given that the automatic
reaction of most people to pollsters, in person, online, or on the phone is to
shun them, the outcome of polling may be heavily influenced by those who have nothing
better to do with their time. It could be just that some people actually feel
important if they are asked their views, but should we listen to what such
people think?
An entire sector of our economy is based on information,
regardless of how accurate that information is, and right now accurate information
could be literally life-saving. But the polling trade has never been concerned
with accuracy. How much opinion, both lay and professional, is shaped by
inaccurate polling - doubtful outputs shaped by dodgy inputs, results
pre-ordained by political and other biases – and how many poor decisions have been
made because of them?
It is little wonder we don’t trust experts even when we lack the ability to make our own minds up, especially given that polls pull us one way then push us another. What I would really welcome is a proper investigation into this entire field; to what extent are polling activities impacting negatively on productivity, mental stability, national unity and harmony, etc? Because if, as I strongly suspect, polling is a big part of ‘the problem’ then the sooner it is exposed the better. Who’s with me?
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